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Visit luckydog's column >>

LUCKYDOG

Proud to be a Progressive Liberal.
Articles Posted: 20  Links Seeded: 5500
Member Since: 2/2006  Last Seen: 5/18/2012

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NH Recount In Ward 5 Producing Distrubing Results

Seeded on Fri Jan 18, 2008 9:45 AM EST
Read ArticleArticle Source: sos.nh.gov
politics, diebold, voting-machines, election-results-tainted
Seeded by luckydog
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These results are from the DEMOCRATIC recount only. The towns listed below are the towns where the recount is complete. The set of numbers under the candidate(s) name reflect the number of votes reported to the Secretary of State's office after the January 8, 2008 Presidential Primary Election. The number to the right (under the column marked "recount") is the number of votes the candidate(s) received after the recount of votes in that town.

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  • Groups: Activism, DemocracyVine, Election News, GeekVine, Left of Center, Political Analysis, rationalists, Worldviews
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  • Public Discussion (57)
luckydog

More evidence as to why a paper trail and audits are absolutely necessary.

  • 6 votes
Reply#1 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 9:47 AM EST
Whyren

That is unnerving...often ~1% error for each of the most "major" candidates (usually uncounted votes).

What perhaps disturbs me more is how the "minor" candidates sometimes still had uncounted votes, even with a small number of total votes.

And what's this one:

  • Scatter
    Manchester Ward 6: 41->6

    ...so 35 votes were originally attributed to random people and were later rightfully attributed in one precinct?

    • 9 votes
    Reply#2 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 10:23 AM EST
    Ratigan

    Well, there are almost 2000 votes less in the recount thus far. I think we need to wait until Weare info comes in. 8,700 live in the town of Weare.

    • 2 votes
    #2.1 - Sat Jan 19, 2008 2:29 PM EST
    Reply
    Celestina

    Yeah, I have been watching this. I reckon this was Kucinich's point. It may not change the overall results, but dammit, shouldn't the machines have a greater accuracy than this?

    • 14 votes
    Reply#3 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 10:36 AM EST
    luckydog

    Yeah, I have been watching this. I reckon this was Kucinich's point. It may not change the overall results, but dammit, shouldn't the machines have a greater accuracy than this?

    They are machines, simple computer terminals. The error rate should be insignificant or ZERO. Something is going on here for sure. It may not change the overall results but that does not mean that somebody did not TRY to change the overall results.

    • 12 votes
    #3.1 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 10:40 AM EST
    Whyren

    Are these recount results just from the electronic terminals or do they include hand-counts? If they're just electronic terminals, than these errors are ridiculous.

    • 10 votes
    #3.2 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 11:07 AM EST
    Reply
    insert_name_here

    Hillary's votes in that Manchester Ward 5 got reduced by almost 10%...

    683 -> 619

    (683 - 619)/683) = 9.37%

    It's simply inconceivable to me that a machine could screw up by that much. Diebold, ESS and Sequoia should be fired - electoral boards should by the systems that the College Board uses. Those seem to do a damn good job reading hundreds of #2 pencil markings on a single sheet of paper, (or if they screw up, it seems to be in my favor, my SATs are pretty respectable) whereas OpScan machines/touch-screen machines are having issues with maybe 10 markings per sheet. (In North Carolina, you connect two bits of an arrow >- -> to be >-===-> to vote for someone. At least, that's what happened maybe 8 years ago, the last time I voted with my mom... But I get to vote this election, and I'm pretty damn pleased.)

    • 11 votes
    Reply#4 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 11:36 AM EST
    Nick Ford

    Just last year the College Board had a big scandal involving a great number of SAT scores. I wouldn't count on them, although this does seem unnecessarily complicated.

    • 6 votes
    #4.1 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 11:48 AM EST
    insert_name_here

    But they caught it and fixed it. (Probably through paranoid parents purchasing that $100 hand recount option...) If a similar accountability system were put into place, such as random manual recounts of 1% of precincts, in which error above an acceptable level, say 25% of the closest percentage margin of victory triggers more recounts.

    I do remember the SAT scandal -- it occurred because answer sheets were warped by moisture. That's completely understandable when you have a bajillion little circles on the sheet. When you have a sheet with 12 arrows, it should be pretty easy to tell when the ballot isn't being read correctly.

    • 8 votes
    #4.2 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 12:28 PM EST
    Nick Ford

    :)

    • 2 votes
    #4.3 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 1:49 PM EST
    Reply
    phree

    The American people should be PISSED. You are getting screwed big time!

    Democracy is about to flat line.

    • 11 votes
    Reply#5 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 11:40 AM EST
    luckydog

    To heck with voting, just as long as Bush keeps my tax prebates coming (to promote a basically healthy economy of course). No political intent here.

    • 7 votes
    Reply#6 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 11:46 AM EST
    CliffDogg

    I find this odd - based on the numbers so far, each of the 3 major candidates net out to a loss of 12 votes.

    • 5 votes
    Reply#7 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 12:22 PM EST
    Andres U

    WTF????????????????????????
    Accountability please. A paper trail is necessary. Protect the electoral process.

    • 5 votes
    Reply#8 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 1:27 PM EST
    Andimia

    wow that is a bad margin of error.

    • 3 votes
    Reply#9 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 1:40 PM EST
    Narky

    Recounting ballots is equivalent to pointing to the kid across the table and whining "he's got more ice cream than me!"

    It appears every state is paranoid and distrust the accuracy of their voting systems ever since the Bush/Gore campaign. They are second guessing themselves and the voters.

      Reply#10 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 3:20 PM EST
      bwells

      It's equivalent to demanding nothing short of 100% confidence in our democratic process. This is not whining.

      • 8 votes
      #10.1 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 3:49 PM EST
      Peter Merel

      Voters are ice cream?

        #10.2 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 4:19 PM EST
        IAmEverydayPeople

        Recounting ballots is equivalent to pointing to the kid across the table and whining "he's got more ice cream than me!"

        No, that's not right at all.

        • 3 votes
        #10.3 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 4:39 PM EST
        luckydog

        Recounting the ballots is equivalent to balancing your checkbook when you come up short. Trust but verify.

        • 8 votes
        #10.4 - Fri Jan 18, 2008 4:53 PM EST
        Prospero1

        It sure does appear that every state is paranoid and distrusts the accuracy of their voting systems ever since the Bush/Gore campaign. They sure are second guessing themselves and the voters.

        You say that like it's a bad thing.

        • 3 votes
        #10.5 - Sat Jan 19, 2008 11:02 AM EST
        Reply
        batmanchesterDeleted
        skeptic-227981

        So who is doing the recount, how are the accuracy and veracity rates, and are there any observers to this process?
        Personally, ballots ought to be 3-part - one for the reader, one for a separate stack in case hand counting is called, and one for the voter to take with him/her.

        • 3 votes
        Reply#12 - Sat Jan 19, 2008 3:12 AM EST
        skeptic-227981

        Who is doing the recount? How are the accuracy and veracity rates? Who is verifying results?
        Personally, I think ballots should be 3-part: one for the reader, one for the 'in case of hand recount stack', and one for the voter to take with him/her.

        • 2 votes
        Reply#13 - Sat Jan 19, 2008 3:20 AM EST
        Sally York

        Skeptic 227981 this is a great idea. There should be a way to assign a hidden number to each ballot. But it is my contention that if there is a will to cheat cheat they will. In my state one way to avoid a recount is to remove and replace one of the seals. If the seals do not match the poll book the precinct stands as originally counted. No recount can be done. In my opinion that's the precinct that needs to be recounted.

        • 3 votes
        Reply#14 - Sat Jan 19, 2008 9:28 AM EST
        Beon

        Gee...I live in New Hampshire and I'm having a hard time seeing anything unusual in these recounts.

        Something many of you might not know is that with the exception of the cities most of NH still votes with paper ballots. I am an elected official and have participated in more than a few recounts, the numbers always move.

        Paper ballots may have the best audit trail but they're also a bitch to count.

        • 2 votes
        Reply#15 - Sat Jan 19, 2008 9:41 AM EST
        Prospero1

        the numbers always move.

        Why in the world would you quietly accept that when elections can be decided by some of these margins of error?

        • 4 votes
        #15.1 - Sat Jan 19, 2008 11:08 AM EST
        Beon

        The more you deal with numbers (which is also something I have to do) the more you have to accept that perfection and 100% accuracy are not always possible. Accounting has a recognized concept for dealing with this called "materiality"; without it the practical reality of compiling anything would stop dead.

        I'm not suggesting a "who cares" approach. Simply that I don't see a material effect in the recounts yet and that people need to recognize that paper ballots carry an extremely high systemic burden to count accurately. The Manchester ward 5 Hillary swing needs to be looked at to determine what happened, and they will. But overall this doesn't seem to be nefarious, carry a pattern, or, believe it or not, unusual.

        • 2 votes
        #15.2 - Sat Jan 19, 2008 11:21 AM EST
        luckydog

        I understand what you are saying Beon but my concern is that we do not dismiss tampering or incompetence as statistical error. A little paranoia here is actually helpful in my view. In other words I would rather err on the side of caution than not being cautious enough. Once it is understood that pretty good safeguards have been put in place then the public will have more confidence in the validity of the democratic process.

        • 4 votes
        #15.3 - Sat Jan 19, 2008 11:34 AM EST
        Reply
        Sally York

        There may be a legitimate reason for the variations,but you need to verify what it is an try to correct it. We had as board of canvassers a very unusual result in one present and it turned out that all of the absentee ballots had not been processed they were still in the Clerk's office. Not good. We were talking 74 vote discrepancy. In another instances there was a problem with the machine picking up a non existing vote for write in and we went through all the ballots and sure enough no one voted in the spot but it was counting write in votes and we had legitimate write in candidates. No good.

        I agree a little paranoia is healthy especially in today's society where everyone seems to be cheating or cutting corners.

        • 2 votes
        Reply#16 - Sat Jan 19, 2008 12:55 PM EST
        Prospero1

        people need to recognize that paper ballots carry an extremely high systemic burden to count accurately.

        Beon, you just can't be serious. I don't care how high the systemic burden is to have an accurate count of the votes. If we don't have that, pretty much nothing else matters.

        • 5 votes
        Reply#17 - Sat Jan 19, 2008 11:16 PM EST
        Beon

        There is a difference between accurate and perfect.

        • 2 votes
        #17.1 - Sun Jan 20, 2008 7:53 AM EST
        nowar

        I don't think the position is that the result must achieve perfect accuracy. The position is that the burden capturing paper evidence of the vote is a cost we must embrace if we are committed to a viable system of elections.

        • 3 votes
        #17.2 - Tue Jan 22, 2008 1:58 AM EST
        Reply
        phree

        What difference does it make if people use paper ballots? Their still scanned by Diebold machines. Plus people can still BURN, LOOSE, or CHANGE the paper ballots.

        What you need to do is ARREST the bad guys!

        • 2 votes
        Reply#18 - Sun Jan 20, 2008 12:27 AM EST
        Beon

        Actually, no. Most paper ballots are counted by hand at tables with lots of people calling out totals per choice to a moderator who adds up the numbers.

        And yes, by all means arrest the bad guys.

        • 2 votes
        #18.1 - Sun Jan 20, 2008 7:55 AM EST
        Prospero1

        I agree with you phree. Those bums really do need to be locked up.

        What is it about us that we absolutely must have some expensive gadget to do anything with? We don't need those crappy scanners to do this. We actually can count. I think the abacus is thousands of years old. It's like we think we'll burst into flames if we don't think we're "cutting edge" or "technologically advanced" enough. How hard is this? How 'bout we muster all the kindergarten classes in the country to count ballots for us? Might come a lot closer to getting it right than those demonic machines do.

        I'd like to see a massive bonfire of every single voting machine that plugs into an electrical socket. That's what I'd like to see.

        • 3 votes
        #18.2 - Tue Jan 22, 2008 9:54 AM EST
        luckydog

        Well, we certainly could abandon technology to do this but I am not convinced we have to. If we can load hundreds of people into a tube and fly them thousands of miles and land safely and do it thousands of times a day, I believe we can select and tally a tiny bit of information accurately and efficiently and create an audit trail. This is not rocket science folks. Perhaps those same kindergarten classes could design a workable voting machine?

        • 1 vote
        #18.3 - Tue Jan 22, 2008 10:22 AM EST
        Partisan Hack

        Perhaps those same kindergarten classes could design a workable voting machine?

        Sure, it's called open-source, voter-verifiable technology. We cannot have corporations controlling the source code for election machines or controlling their administration during voting. Voting must be in the hands of publicly accountable officials and subject to the public's scrutiny at all times. There cannot be a "black box" into which our votes disappear. We should be able to see each and every one of them stored on media that cannot allow for our choices to be altered. Right now electronic technology does not allow for this in an end-to-end process. Electronic technology enables data to be changed at will.

        For today the answer is paper ballots, counted by hand. If technology is used to count ballots it must be open-source programming that can be verified and managed without the support of vendors and subject to public scrutiny at all times.

        • 3 votes
        #18.4 - Tue Jan 22, 2008 10:53 AM EST
        luckydog

        Agreed.

        • 1 vote
        #18.5 - Tue Jan 22, 2008 11:06 AM EST
        phree

        The machines were designed to be able to rig elections. They are working fine.

          #18.6 - Wed Jan 23, 2008 11:28 AM EST
          Reply
          Prospero1

          luckydog

          Well, we certainly could abandon technology to do this but I am not convinced we have to.

          But why cling to it if it's not necessary? It is a little expensive after all. Why not do the least expensive, most effective thing even if it's low-tech?

          You put all the candidates names on a piece of paper called a ballot, and you put a secure, tamper-proof box nearby to drop the ballot in. You do whatever you have to do to be sure each box and each ballot is treated like a holy relic whose chain of custody is rigorously accounted for, kind of like a nuclear warhead. (Don't anybody say "Minot.") After everybody who wants to vote has voted you count them all, which counting process is also supervised with rigorous integrity. We really do already know how to do this. We knew how to do it even before Diebold did.

          • 4 votes
          Reply#19 - Tue Jan 22, 2008 2:56 PM EST
          luckydog

          But how can we give lucrative government contracts to voting machine manufacturers if we just vote and count the ballots?

          • 4 votes
          #19.1 - Tue Jan 22, 2008 3:37 PM EST
          Prospero1

          In my zeal, I forgot that crucial point.

          I guess we call that a deal-breaker.

          • 3 votes
          #19.2 - Tue Jan 22, 2008 3:41 PM EST
          Partisan Hack

          Shucks, so much for empowering the private sector...

          tee-hee.

          • 2 votes
          #19.3 - Tue Jan 22, 2008 4:11 PM EST
          Reply
          RP2008

          Uh guys, um, I've been following the NH recount, and the document has been changed from a few days ago if you go to the main NH government website where they repost the results. Ron Paul was sitting at a recount of 96 last time I checked. Where did all the numbers go? They don't even have all of the Democratic numbers up there anymore...What is going on? Where are the recount totals for the Dems... Will someone please explain? Damnit...this is really starting to get frustrating.

          • 2 votes
          Reply#20 - Wed Jan 23, 2008 10:17 AM EST
          Whyren

          I think they've switched to another county's results.

          The results they had before from Hillsborough are here.

          • 2 votes
          #20.1 - Wed Jan 23, 2008 11:44 AM EST
          Reply
          RP2008

          They switched because they have quit freaking counting and it is really hard to hind the previous results from the other county with the significant differences. I don't understand how they ran out of funding. I thought Kuninch already payed them. Will someone explain to me how this works or point me to a website where I can read about the recount process?

          • 1 vote
          Reply#21 - Wed Jan 23, 2008 3:44 PM EST
          Partisan Hack

          Brad Blog broke just the outlines, here's the seed.

          • 1 vote
          #21.1 - Wed Jan 23, 2008 10:15 PM EST
          Reply
          Sally York

          Do we smell a Clinton intervention here. Kuninch will take this to court or he will tried to get the Justice Department look into it. He is for reform and he will make some kind of attack on this crap.

          • 1 vote
          Reply#22 - Thu Jan 24, 2008 8:32 AM EST
          Partisan Hack

          He also knows from the Ohio experience in 2004 just how corrupt elections management has become.

          • 1 vote
          #22.1 - Thu Jan 24, 2008 9:33 AM EST
          Reply
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